Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.171668 0.199457 0.230357 0.267276 0.310208 0.358583 0.417270
2025-03-23 0.128873 0.165994 0.211727 0.272271 0.350435 0.448116 0.579746
2025-03-30 0.102526 0.141741 0.193575 0.267225 0.369430 0.506639 0.705525
2025-04-06 0.085599 0.125345 0.180977 0.264713 0.387972 0.563427 0.833423
2025-04-13 0.074008 0.113894 0.172553 0.265368 0.409162 0.624527 0.973647
2025-04-20 0.067689 0.108922 0.172316 0.277232 0.447435 0.714316 1.167770
2025-04-27 0.062004 0.103909 0.170999 0.286678 0.482404 0.802446 1.370154
2025-05-04 0.056946 0.099080 0.169110 0.294525 0.515157 0.890227 1.582690
2025-05-11 0.051676 0.093104 0.164398 0.296673 0.537988 0.963375 1.778650
2025-05-18 0.046439 0.086452 0.157593 0.294038 0.551609 1.021410 1.954064
2025-05-25 0.041074 0.078852 0.148116 0.285179 0.552382 1.055696 2.088663
2025-06-01 0.038581 0.076305 0.147554 0.292885 0.585189 1.153257 2.357407
2025-06-08 0.035409 0.072131 0.143565 0.293729 0.605282 1.229881 2.597196
2025-06-15 0.033070 0.069337 0.141949 0.299154 0.635377 1.330279 2.900291
2025-06-22 0.029897 0.064420 0.135456 0.293603 0.641743 1.382385 3.106742
2025-06-29 0.027355 0.060520 0.130585 0.290840 0.653604 1.447276 3.349658
2025-07-06 0.025390 0.057628 0.127499 0.291561 0.673150 1.531047 3.646451
2025-07-13 0.024586 0.057228 0.129783 0.304613 0.722288 1.686918 4.133094
2025-07-20 0.023624 0.056346 0.130871 0.315006 0.766458 1.836623 4.625153
2025-07-27 0.022603 0.055199 0.131211 0.323639 0.807446 1.983698 5.130681
2025-08-03 0.021258 0.053108 0.129091 0.326003 0.833250 2.096981 5.565399
2025-08-10 0.019718 0.050353 0.125062 0.323104 0.845371 2.177626 5.925561
2025-08-17 0.017942 0.046794 0.118659 0.313357 0.838543 2.209097 6.157763